Lightweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · KO/TKO R1
TF
AR
Tony FergusonvsAaron Riley
UFC Event · Saturday, September 24, 2011 · Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Tony Ferguson wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Tony Ferguson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Tony Ferguson
Red Corner
VS
Aaron Riley
Blue Corner
-340
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
42
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'8"
193.04 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
21.0
Sig. Strikes
39.6
2.0
Takedowns
1.1
0.0
Sub Attempts
0.1
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-371.0371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.52.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Tony Ferguson
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24
Aaron Riley
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3