Flyweight
3 Rounds
Result: Blue
LS
MN
Louis SmolkavsMatheus Nicolau
UFC Event · Saturday, December 30, 2017 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matheus Nicolau wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Matheus Nicolau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Louis Smolka
Red Corner
VS
Matheus Nicolau
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
47.0
Sig. Strikes
43.5
1.4
Takedowns
1.5
2.0
Sub Attempts
1.5
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.523.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-281.0281.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Louis Smolka
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17
Matheus Nicolau
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights11