Matheus NicolauvsDavid Dvorak

UFC Event · Saturday, March 26, 2022 · Columbus, Ohio, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Matheus Nicolau wins(68.6%)

Actual result: Matheus Nicolau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Matheus Nicolau

Red Corner

David Dvorak

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

167.64 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.6

Sig. Strikes

3.5

1.4

Takedowns

0.6

0.8

Sub Attempts

0.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+12.9-12.9

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-140.0140.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.4-1.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.6-0.6

Matheus Nicolau

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11

David Dvorak

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6