Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jackson McVey won · Submission R1
Elo1467
Elo1487
Jackson McVeyvsSedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Saturday, April 25, 2026Las Vegas, USA
Model Prediction: Jackson McVey wins(51.0%)
Scouting Report
- Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jackson McVey threatens submissions; Sedriques Dumas has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Sedriques Dumas has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Sedriques Dumas has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Jackson McVey
Sedriques Dumas
—
Vegas Odds
—
1467
1487
27
30
Southpaw
Orthodox
6'4"
6'2"
195.58 cm
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Jackson McVey
oldest →
SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 25
SUBvs Zach Reese · Nov 25
latestSedriques Dumas
oldest →
KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Mar 24
vs Denis Tiuliulin · Aug 24
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 25
vs Zach Reese · Sep 25
SUBvs Donte Johnson · Nov 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Jackson McVeyMetricSedriques Dumas
6.51
Strikes / min
1.97
3.37
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
23%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.30
0%
Takedown defense
33%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Jackson McVeySedriques Dumas
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Jackson McVey
StanceSouthpaw
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights4
Sedriques Dumas
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9