Luan LacerdavsHecher Sosa

UFC Event · Saturday, March 14, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Luan Lacerda wins(54.6%)

Actual result: Hecher Sosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Luan Lacerda

Red Corner

Hecher Sosa

Blue Corner

+164

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-196

(66%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.1

Sig. Strikes

4.5

2.8

Takedowns

2.0

0.6

Sub Attempts

1.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-15.315.3

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.7-0.7

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-49.649.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.649.6

Luan Lacerda

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4

Hecher Sosa

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1