Jai HerbertvsKyle Nelson

UFC Event · Saturday, July 23, 2022 · London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom

Model Prediction: Kyle Nelson wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Jai Herbert wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Jai Herbert

Red Corner

Kyle Nelson

Blue Corner

-285

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'1"

Height

5'11"

195.58 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.2

Sig. Strikes

3.6

0.5

Takedowns

1.1

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.6

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+5.7-5.7

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-553.0553.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Jai Herbert

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights8

Kyle Nelson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11