Middleweight
3 Rounds
Cam Rowston won · Decision R3
Elo1540
Elo1512
Cam RowstonvsRobert Bryczek
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · Saturday, May 2, 2026Perth, Australia
Model Prediction: Cam Rowston wins(63.5%)
Scouting Report
- Robert Bryczek has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cam Rowston
Robert Bryczek
—
Vegas Odds
—
1540
1512
31
36
Orthodox
Orthodox
6'3"
6'0"
198.12 cm
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Cam Rowston
oldest →
KOvs Andre Petroski · Sep 25
KOvs Cody Brundage · Jan 26
latestRobert Bryczek
oldest →
vs Ihor Potieria · Feb 24
KOvs Brad Tavares · Sep 25
latestOutput & Defense Comparison
Cam RowstonMetricRobert Bryczek
4.60
Strikes / min
2.80
2.12
Strikes absorbed / min
4.51
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.34
TDs / 15 min
0.36
33%
Takedown defense
71%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Cam RowstonRobert Bryczek
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
EVEN
— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Cam Rowston
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights2
Robert Bryczek
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights2