Flyweight
3 Rounds
Result: Blue · SUB R1
MS
JM
Matt SchnellvsJoseph Morales
UFC Event · Saturday, November 8, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Schnell wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Joseph Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Matt Schnell
Red Corner
VS
Joseph Morales
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-490
(83%)
36
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
4.1
Sig. Strikes
2.0
0.6
Takedowns
1.1
1.2
Sub Attempts
3.0
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.47.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+112.0-112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Matt Schnell
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Joseph Morales
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights5