Jesus AguilarvsLuis Gurule

UFC Event · Saturday, September 13, 2025 · San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Jesus Aguilar wins(54.7%)

Actual result: Jesus Aguilar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Jesus Aguilar

Red Corner

Luis Gurule

Blue Corner

+158

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-188

(65%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

157.48 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

2.5

Sig. Strikes

4.5

1.5

Takedowns

0.6

1.1

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+32.0-32.0

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+49.0-49.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+1.0-1.0

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.5-0.5

Jesus Aguilar

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7

Luis Gurule

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights3