Lucas AlmeidavsMichael Aswell Jr.

UFC Event · Saturday, October 11, 2025 · Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil

Model Prediction: Lucas Almeida wins(55.1%)

Actual result: Michael Aswell Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Lucas Almeida

Red Corner

Michael Aswell Jr.

Blue Corner

+215

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-260

(72%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.9

Sig. Strikes

7.8

0.0

Takedowns

0.3

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+5.8-5.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+91.0-91.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.6-0.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Lucas Almeida

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Michael Aswell Jr.

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3