Tony FergusonvsMichael Chiesa

UFC Event · Saturday, August 3, 2024 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates

Model Prediction: Tony Ferguson wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Michael Chiesa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Tony Ferguson

Red Corner

Michael Chiesa

Blue Corner

+360

(22%)

Vegas Odds

-540

(84%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.9

Sig. Strikes

1.9

0.4

Takedowns

3.4

0.9

Sub Attempts

1.0

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-6.56.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-140.0140.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.9-0.9

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.20.2

Tony Ferguson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights24

Michael Chiesa

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights22