Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Matt Hobar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 23, 2014·Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Aaron Phillips wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Matt Hobar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aaron Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Aaron Phillips
Red Corner
VS
Matt Hobar
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
36
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aaron PhillipsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sam Sicilia · May 14L
SUBvs Jack Shore · Jul 20L
vs Gaston Bolanos · Apr 23Matt HobarL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · May 14L
vs Sergio Pettis · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aaron PhillipsMetricMatt Hobar
1.51
Strikes / min
3.23
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
43%
Strike defense
52%
0.86
TDs / 15 min
3.66
44%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.15Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aaron PhillipsMatt Hobar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aaron Phillips(4 fights)Matt Hobar(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.10.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Aaron Phillips
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Matt Hobar
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3