Lightweight
3 Rounds
Aaron Riley won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 29, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Aaron Riley wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Aaron Riley wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Aaron Riley (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Aaron Riley
Red Corner
VS
Joe Brammer
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
45
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aaron RileyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · Sep 11L
vs Justin Salas · Jul 13Joe BrammerNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aaron RileyMetricJoe Brammer
3.45
Strikes / min
2.15
3.78
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
61%
Strike defense
56%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
0.81
60%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aaron RileyJoe Brammer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aaron Riley(3 fights)Joe Brammer(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Aaron Riley
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3
Joe Brammer
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights1