Welterweight
3 Rounds
Aaron Simpson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, July 11, 2012·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Style matchupAaron Simpson: WrestlervsKenny Robertson: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Aaron Simpson wins(63.7%)
Actual result: Aaron Simpson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aaron Simpson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Aaron Simpson
Red Corner
VS
Kenny Robertson
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
51
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aaron SimpsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mario Miranda · Mar 11W
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 11W
vs Eric Schafer · Oct 11L
vs Ronny Markes · Feb 12L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Oct 12Kenny RobertsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Thiago Perpetuo · Mar 14W
vs Ildemar Alcantara · Jul 14W
KOvs Sultan Aliev · Jan 15L
vs Ben Saunders · Jul 15L
vs Roan Carneiro · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aaron SimpsonMetricKenny Robertson
3.60
Strikes / min
3.72
2.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
56%
Strike defense
52%
3.78
TDs / 15 min
1.37
83%
Takedown defense
57%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07evenly matched on net striking+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aaron SimpsonKenny Robertson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aaron Simpson(8 fights)Kenny Robertson(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.9-19.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-375.0375.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Aaron Simpson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Kenny Robertson
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9