Middleweight
3 Rounds
Mark Munoz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 20, 2010·Auburn Hills, Michigan, USA, USA
Style matchupAaron Simpson: WrestlervsMark Munoz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Aaron Simpson wins(67.1%)
Actual result: Mark Munoz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aaron Simpson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Aaron Simpson
Red Corner
VS
Mark Munoz
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
51
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aaron Simpson
oldest →latest
W
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 11W
vs Eric Schafer · Oct 11L
vs Ronny Markes · Feb 12W
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 12L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Oct 12Mark Munoz
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Boetsch · Jul 13L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Oct 13L
SUBvs Gegard Mousasi · May 14L
SUBvs Roan Carneiro · Feb 15W
vs Luke Barnatt · May 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aaron SimpsonMetricMark Munoz
3.60
Strikes / min
3.12
2.53
Strikes absorbed / min
2.26
56%
Strike defense
57%
3.78
TDs / 15 min
3.17
83%
Takedown defense
57%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07evenly matched on net striking+0.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aaron SimpsonMark Munoz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aaron Simpson(8 fights)Mark Munoz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+43.0-43.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Aaron Simpson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Mark Munoz
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights12