Middleweight
3 Rounds
Ronny Markes won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, February 15, 2012·Omaha, Nebraska, USA, USA
Style matchupAaron Simpson: WrestlervsRonny Markes: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Aaron Simpson wins(55.7%)
Actual result: Ronny Markes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aaron Simpson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ronny Markes has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Aaron Simpson
Red Corner
VS
Ronny Markes
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
51
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aaron Simpson
oldest →latest
W
vs Mario Miranda · Mar 11W
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 11W
vs Eric Schafer · Oct 11W
vs Kenny Robertson · Jul 12L
KOvs Mike Pierce · Oct 12Ronny MarkesL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Karlos Vemola · Aug 11W
vs Andrew Craig · Jan 13L
KOvs Yoel Romero · Nov 13L
KOvs Thiago Santos · Mar 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aaron SimpsonMetricRonny Markes
3.60
Strikes / min
2.17
2.53
Strikes absorbed / min
2.43
56%
Strike defense
45%
3.78
TDs / 15 min
3.13
83%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aaron SimpsonRonny Markes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aaron Simpson(8 fights)Ronny Markes(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.0-6.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-55.055.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Aaron Simpson
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Ronny Markes
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5