Mauricio RuavsRogerio Nogueira

UFC Event · Saturday, July 25, 2020 · Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates

Model Prediction: Mauricio Rua wins(63.7%)

Actual result: Mauricio Rua wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Mauricio Rua

Red Corner

Rogerio Nogueira

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.6

Sig. Strikes

2.4

2.2

Takedowns

0.7

0.8

Sub Attempts

0.8

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+31.8-31.8

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+161.0-161.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.6-0.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+1.0-1.0

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

Mauricio Rua

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights19

Rogerio Nogueira

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12