Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 22, 2025·Doha, Qatar, Qatar
Model Prediction: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev wins(68.8%)
Actual result: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Cerqueira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Cerqueira (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Cerqueira
Blue Corner
-1600
(94%)
Vegas Odds
+900
(10%)
25
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevNo prior UFC fights on record.
Rafael CerqueiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ibo Aslan · Oct 24L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 25L
vs Julius Walker · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevMetricRafael Cerqueira
7.40
Strikes / min
1.56
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
5.05
57%
Strike defense
36%
11.49
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
36%
7.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+5.10Δ 8.59 — meaningful gap-3.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevRafael Cerqueira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev(1 fights)Rafael Cerqueira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+45.7-45.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights2
Rafael Cerqueira
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4