Lightweight
3 Rounds
Abel Trujillo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, May 29, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAbel Trujillo: WrestlervsJordan Rinaldi: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Abel Trujillo wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Abel Trujillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abel Trujillo has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Abel Trujillo
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Rinaldi
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abel TrujilloL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Dec 14W
vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15W
SUBvs Tony Sims · Jan 16L
SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17L
vs John Makdessi · Dec 17Jordan Rinaldi
oldest →latest
W
vs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18W
vs Jason Knight · Nov 18L
vs Arnold Allen · Mar 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abel TrujilloMetricJordan Rinaldi
2.65
Strikes / min
1.56
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
2.32
59%
Strike defense
59%
2.18
TDs / 15 min
1.45
40%
Takedown defense
20%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Abel TrujilloJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abel Trujillo(10 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+58.8-58.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Abel Trujillo
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Jordan Rinaldi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5