Lightweight
3 Rounds
Abel Trujillo won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 2, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Abel Trujillo wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Abel Trujillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tony Sims (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Abel Trujillo
Red Corner
VS
Tony Sims
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abel TrujilloL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Dec 14W
vs Gleison Tibau · Nov 15W
vs Jordan Rinaldi · May 16L
SUBvs James Vick · Feb 17L
vs John Makdessi · Dec 17Tony Sims
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Steve Montgomery · Jun 15L
vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Aug 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abel TrujilloMetricTony Sims
2.65
Strikes / min
1.81
2.31
Strikes absorbed / min
0.76
59%
Strike defense
65%
2.18
TDs / 15 min
0.71
40%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.34evenly matched on net striking+1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Abel TrujilloTony Sims
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abel Trujillo(10 fights)Tony Sims(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+42.5-42.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-76.076.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.8-1.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Abel Trujillo
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Tony Sims
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3