Welterweight
3 Rounds
David Zawada won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2019·Moscow, Moscow, Russia, Russia
Style matchupAbubakar Nurmagomedov: Well-roundedvsDavid Zawada: Submission grappler
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Abubakar Nurmagomedov wins(61.8%)
Actual result: David Zawada wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- David Zawada enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- David Zawada threatens submissions; Abubakar Nurmagomedov has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
David Zawada
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
oldest →latest
W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 21W
vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev · Oct 22L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 23David ZawadaL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Danny Roberts · Jul 18L
vs Li Jingliang · Nov 18L
vs Ramazan Emeev · Jan 21L
vs Alex Morono · Sep 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abubakar NurmagomedovMetricDavid Zawada
2.78
Strikes / min
3.84
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
4.54
65%
Strike defense
55%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.97
88%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Abubakar NurmagomedovDavid Zawada
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abubakar Nurmagomedov(4 fights)David Zawada(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.8-31.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+48.8-48.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.3-49.3
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
David Zawada
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights5