Welterweight
3 Rounds
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 3, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAbubakar Nurmagomedov: Well-roundedvsElizeu Zaleski dos Santos: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Abubakar Nurmagomedov wins(62.2%)
Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+102
(50%)
36
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abubakar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs David Zawada · Nov 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 21W
vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev · Oct 22Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Benoit Saint Denis · Oct 21L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 24W
KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24L
KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25L
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abubakar NurmagomedovMetricElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
2.78
Strikes / min
4.16
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
65%
Strike defense
55%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
0.79
88%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Abubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abubakar Nurmagomedov(4 fights)Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-83.183.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-357.0357.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.42.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15