Welterweight
3 Rounds
Abubakar Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 22, 2022·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Abubakar Nurmagomedov wins(72.1%)
Actual result: Abubakar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Abubakar Nurmagomedov has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Red Corner
VS
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
36
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs David Zawada · Nov 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Mar 21L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 23Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
oldest →latest
L
vs Caio Borralho · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Abubakar NurmagomedovMetricGadzhi Omargadzhiev
2.78
Strikes / min
1.80
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
65%
Strike defense
39%
1.25
TDs / 15 min
1.35
88%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Abubakar NurmagomedovGadzhi Omargadzhiev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Abubakar Nurmagomedov(4 fights)Gadzhi Omargadzhiev(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.0-17.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+385.0-385.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2