Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ty Miller won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 24, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAdam Fugitt: Pressure fightervsTy Miller: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Adam Fugitt wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Ty Miller wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ty Miller is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Adam Fugitt has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Ty Miller has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ty Miller has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adam Fugitt (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Adam Fugitt
Red Corner
VS
Ty Miller
Blue Corner
+330
(23%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
37
Age
25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adam Fugitt
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Jul 22W
KOvs Yusaku Kinoshita · Feb 23L
SUBvs Mike Malott · Jun 23W
vs Josh Quinlan · Jun 24L
KOvs Islam Dulatov · Jul 25Ty MillerNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adam FugittMetricTy Miller
4.88
Strikes / min
7.16
5.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.65
51%
Strike defense
64%
1.63
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.45Δ 2.96 — meaningful gap+2.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Adam FugittTy Miller
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adam Fugitt(6 fights)Ty Miller(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.215.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Adam Fugitt
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6
Ty Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights1