Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 3, 2018·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Adam Wieczorek wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adam Wieczorek threatens submissions; Marcos Rogerio de Lima has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Adam Wieczorek has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Adam Wieczorek
Red Corner
VS
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
34
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'1"
205.74 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adam WieczorekW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Hamilton · Nov 17W
SUBvs Arjan Bhullar · Apr 18Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →latest
L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adam WieczorekMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
1.68
Strikes / min
3.70
1.87
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
48%
Strike defense
51%
0.41
TDs / 15 min
1.40
58%
Takedown defense
59%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Adam WieczorekMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adam Wieczorek(3 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.9-14.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-357.0357.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Adam Wieczorek
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach81.0"
Fights3
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17