Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Adrian Yanez won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, March 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(70.4%)
Actual result: Adrian Yanez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adrian Yanez is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Gustavo Lopez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Adrian Yanez has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Adrian Yanez
Red Corner
VS
Gustavo Lopez
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+178
(36%)
32
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adrian Yanez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rob Font · Apr 23L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24D
vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26Gustavo Lopez
oldest →latest
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jun 20W
SUBvs Anthony Birchak · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adrian YanezMetricGustavo Lopez
5.96
Strikes / min
2.48
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
56%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.74
75%
Takedown defense
31%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap-1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Adrian YanezGustavo Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adrian Yanez(10 fights)Gustavo Lopez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Adrian Yanez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Gustavo Lopez
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3