Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Adrian Yanez won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 24, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAdrian Yanez: Pressure fightervsRandy Costa: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Adrian Yanez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adrian Yanez is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Randy Costa has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Randy Costa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Adrian Yanez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Adrian Yanez has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Adrian Yanez
Red Corner
VS
Randy Costa
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adrian Yanez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rob Font · Apr 23L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24D
vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26Randy CostaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Davis · Apr 19W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Oct 19W
KOvs Journey Newson · Sep 20L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21L
SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adrian YanezMetricRandy Costa
5.96
Strikes / min
6.53
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
7.58
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Adrian YanezRandy Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adrian Yanez(10 fights)Randy Costa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-182.0182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Adrian Yanez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Randy Costa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6