Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Adrian Yanez won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2022·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAdrian Yanez: Pressure fightervsTony Kelley: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(68.9%)
Actual result: Adrian Yanez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tony Kelley is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Adrian Yanez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Adrian Yanez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Adrian Yanez has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tony Kelley (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Adrian Yanez
Red Corner
VS
Tony Kelley
Blue Corner
-325
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
32
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adrian Yanez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rob Font · Apr 23L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24D
vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26Tony KelleyW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ali AlQaisi · Oct 20W
KOvs Randy Costa · Dec 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adrian YanezMetricTony Kelley
5.96
Strikes / min
5.55
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.85
56%
Strike defense
45%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
52%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Adrian YanezTony Kelley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adrian Yanez(10 fights)Tony Kelley(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.5-29.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Adrian Yanez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10
Tony Kelley
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3