Lightweight
3 Rounds
Adriano Martins won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 3, 2015·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Adriano Martins wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Adriano Martins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Adriano Martins
Red Corner
VS
Islam Makhachev
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
43
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adriano MartinsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14W
vs Juan Puig · Jul 14W
vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 15L
vs Leonardo Santos · Oct 16L
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Sep 17Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25W
vs Jack Della Maddalena · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adriano MartinsMetricIslam Makhachev
1.80
Strikes / min
2.45
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
1.45
65%
Strike defense
61%
0.83
TDs / 15 min
3.10
81%
Takedown defense
91%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.34Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Adriano MartinsIslam Makhachev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adriano Martins(7 fights)Islam Makhachev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.9-23.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+90.0-90.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Adriano Martins
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Islam Makhachev
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18