Lightweight
5 Rounds
Donald Cerrone won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2019·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupAl Iaquinta: Pressure fightervsDonald Cerrone: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Donald Cerrone wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Donald Cerrone wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Donald Cerrone enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Al Iaquinta
Red Corner
VS
Donald Cerrone
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
39
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Al IaquintaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Diego Sanchez · Apr 17L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18W
vs Kevin Lee · Dec 18L
vs Dan Hooker · Oct 19L
KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21Donald CerroneL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Sep 19L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 20L
vs Anthony Pettis · May 20L
KOvs Alex Morono · May 21L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Al IaquintaMetricDonald Cerrone
4.06
Strikes / min
4.41
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
4.48
61%
Strike defense
53%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
1.16
74%
Takedown defense
73%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Al IaquintaDonald Cerrone
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Al Iaquinta(10 fights)Donald Cerrone(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-49.849.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Al Iaquinta
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Donald Cerrone
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights37