Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mitch Clarke won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 24, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Al Iaquinta wins(71.3%)
Actual result: Mitch Clarke wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Al Iaquinta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mitch Clarke threatens submissions; Al Iaquinta has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Al Iaquinta has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Al Iaquinta has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Al Iaquinta
Red Corner
VS
Mitch Clarke
Blue Corner
-430
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Al IaquintaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Apr 18W
vs Kevin Lee · Dec 18L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Oct 19L
KOvs Bobby Green · Nov 21Mitch ClarkeL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Anton Kuivanen · Jul 12W
vs John Maguire · Jun 13L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Al IaquintaMetricMitch Clarke
4.06
Strikes / min
2.35
4.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
61%
Strike defense
47%
0.63
TDs / 15 min
0.64
74%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Al IaquintaMitch Clarke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Al Iaquinta(10 fights)Mitch Clarke(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.6-53.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-231.0231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Al Iaquinta
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15
Mitch Clarke
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7