Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rodrigo Nascimento won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 17, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlan Baudot: Pressure fightervsRodrigo Nascimento: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Alan Baudot wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Rodrigo Nascimento wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Baudot enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Alan Baudot
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Nascimento
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-410
(80%)
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'2"
200.66 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan BaudotL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Oct 20L
vs Parker Porter · Feb 22L
KOvs Josh Parisian · Jun 22Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Ilir Latifi · May 23W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan BaudotMetricRodrigo Nascimento
5.36
Strikes / min
3.71
4.82
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
46%
Strike defense
44%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.02
62%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.54Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alan BaudotRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Baudot(4 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.013.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
Alan Baudot
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Rodrigo Nascimento
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights8