Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alan Jouban won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Thursday, July 7, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlan Jouban: Pressure fightervsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Alan Jouban wins(59.0%)
Actual result: Alan Jouban wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alan Jouban
Red Corner
VS
Belal Muhammad
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
44
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan Jouban
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan JoubanMetricBelal Muhammad
5.67
Strikes / min
4.43
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
60%
Strike defense
55%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
2.14
58%
Takedown defense
90%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.90Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Jouban(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+35.8-35.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.947.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Alan Jouban
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20