Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alan Patrick won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 19, 2016·Brisbane, Queensland, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Alan Patrick wins(65.4%)
Actual result: Alan Patrick wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Patrick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Damien Brown enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Damien Brown is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Alan Patrick has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Patrick (53.5%).
- Alan Patrick has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alan Patrick
Red Corner
VS
Damien Brown
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
42
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan PatrickL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Stevie Ray · Sep 16W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Oct 18L
vs Bobby Green · Sep 20L
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 22Damien BrownL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cesar Arzamendia · Jul 16W
vs Jon Tuck · Nov 16L
KOvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 17L
vs Frank Camacho · Nov 17L
vs Dong Hyun Ma · Feb 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan PatrickMetricDamien Brown
1.82
Strikes / min
3.66
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.86
43%
Strike defense
50%
3.01
TDs / 15 min
0.68
43%
Takedown defense
53%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.13evenly matched on net striking-1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alan PatrickDamien Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Patrick(9 fights)Damien Brown(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.1-20.1
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Alan Patrick
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Damien Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6