Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alan Patrick won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, October 9, 2013·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Alan Patrick wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Alan Patrick wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alan Patrick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alan Patrick has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alan Patrick (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alan Patrick
Red Corner
VS
Garett Whiteley
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
42
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alan PatrickL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Stevie Ray · Sep 16W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 18L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Oct 18L
vs Bobby Green · Sep 20L
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 22Garett WhiteleyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Vinc Pichel · Jan 14L
vs David Michaud · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alan PatrickMetricGarett Whiteley
1.82
Strikes / min
3.72
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
43%
Strike defense
46%
3.01
TDs / 15 min
0.00
43%
Takedown defense
27%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.13evenly matched on net striking-0.32
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alan Patrick(9 fights)Garett Whiteley(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Alan Patrick
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Garett Whiteley
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3