Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gunnar Nelson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Sunday, May 8, 2016·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands, Netherlands
Style matchupAlbert Tumenov: StrikervsGunnar Nelson: Wrestler
Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Albert Tumenov wins(53.5%)
Actual result: Gunnar Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gunnar Nelson threatens submissions; Albert Tumenov has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Albert Tumenov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gunnar Nelson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Albert Tumenov
Red Corner
VS
Gunnar Nelson
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Albert Tumenov
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Dwyer · Oct 14W
vs Nico Musoke · Jan 15W
KOvs Alan Jouban · Oct 15W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 16L
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Oct 16Gunnar Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 19W
vs Takashi Sato · Mar 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Mar 23L
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Albert TumenovMetricGunnar Nelson
3.76
Strikes / min
1.77
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
58%
Strike defense
48%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
2.00
75%
Takedown defense
68%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.42Δ 1.71 — meaningful gap-1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Albert TumenovGunnar Nelson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Albert Tumenov(8 fights)Gunnar Nelson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.9-25.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Albert Tumenov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Gunnar Nelson
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16