Welterweight
3 Rounds
Albert Tumenov won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 4, 2014·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Model Prediction: Albert Tumenov wins(66.8%)
Actual result: Albert Tumenov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Albert Tumenov has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Albert Tumenov
Red Corner
VS
Matt Dwyer
Blue Corner
-440
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
34
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'4"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Albert TumenovL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Nico Musoke · Jan 15W
KOvs Alan Jouban · Oct 15W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 16L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · May 16L
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Oct 16Matt DwyerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs William Patolino · Feb 15L
vs Alan Jouban · Jul 15L
vs Randy Brown · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Albert TumenovMetricMatt Dwyer
3.76
Strikes / min
2.57
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
0.44
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.42Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Albert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Albert Tumenov(8 fights)Matt Dwyer(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.948.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Albert Tumenov
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Matt Dwyer
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4