Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksei Oleinik won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAleksei Oleinik: Submission grapplervsAnthony Hamilton: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Aleksei Oleinik wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Aleksei Oleinik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Hamilton enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Anthony Hamilton is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Anthony Hamilton has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Aleksei Oleinik
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Hamilton
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
48
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Anthony HamiltonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Damian Grabowski · Jul 16L
SUBvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 16L
KOvs Marcel Fortuna · Feb 17L
KOvs Daniel Spitz · Sep 17L
vs Adam Wieczorek · Nov 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricAnthony Hamilton
3.29
Strikes / min
3.91
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
44%
Strike defense
45%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
2.62
37%
Takedown defense
78%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap+0.89
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Anthony Hamilton(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Anthony Hamilton
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights10