Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Chris Daukaus won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, February 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAleksei Oleinik: Submission grapplervsChris Daukaus: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Chris Daukaus wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Chris Daukaus wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Daukaus has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Aleksei Oleinik
Red Corner
VS
Chris Daukaus
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-177
(64%)
48
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
W
vs Fabricio Werdum · May 20L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Chris DaukausL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Dec 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricChris Daukaus
3.29
Strikes / min
6.05
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
4.64
44%
Strike defense
55%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
0.00
37%
Takedown defense
100%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aleksei OleinikChris Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Chris Daukaus(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.0-12.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Chris Daukaus
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8