Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Curtis Blaydes won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2017·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupAleksei Oleinik: Submission grapplervsCurtis Blaydes: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Aleksei Oleinik wins(50.5%)
Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Blaydes is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Aleksei Oleinik
Red Corner
VS
Curtis Blaydes
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
48
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricCurtis Blaydes
3.29
Strikes / min
4.18
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
44%
Strike defense
53%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
5.12
37%
Takedown defense
35%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap+1.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aleksei OleinikCurtis Blaydes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.6-25.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19