Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksei Oleinik won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 12, 2018·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupAleksei Oleinik: Submission grapplervsJunior Albini: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Aleksei Oleinik wins(50.3%)
Actual result: Aleksei Oleinik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Albini enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Junior Albini has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Aleksei Oleinik has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Aleksei Oleinik
Red Corner
VS
Junior Albini
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
48
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Junior AlbiniL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tim Johnson · Jul 17L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Nov 17L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Feb 19L
KOvs Maurice Greene · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricJunior Albini
3.29
Strikes / min
3.98
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
6.08
44%
Strike defense
52%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
1.54
37%
Takedown defense
100%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-2.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aleksei OleinikJunior Albini
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Junior Albini(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.4-25.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Junior Albini
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5