Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksei Oleinik won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Sunday, January 15, 2017·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupAleksei Oleinik: Submission grapplervsViktor Pesta: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Aleksei Oleinik wins(59.9%)
Actual result: Aleksei Oleinik wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Viktor Pesta has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Viktor Pesta has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Aleksei Oleinik
Red Corner
VS
Viktor Pesta
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
48
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Viktor PestaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ruslan Magomedov · May 14W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Jan 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Oct 15L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricViktor Pesta
3.29
Strikes / min
1.58
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
3.29
37%
Takedown defense
100%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aleksei OleinikViktor Pesta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Viktor Pesta(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.1-40.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+24.0-24.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Viktor Pesta
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights5