Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Walt Harris won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupAleksei Oleinik: Submission grapplervsWalt Harris: Striker
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Aleksei Oleinik wins(63.4%)
Actual result: Walt Harris wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Aleksei Oleinik has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Walt Harris has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Aleksei Oleinik
Red Corner
VS
Walt Harris
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
48
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →latest
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22L
vs Ilir Latifi · Oct 22Walt HarrisL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Daniel Spitz · Jun 18W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricWalt Harris
3.29
Strikes / min
3.05
3.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
44%
Strike defense
54%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
0.29
37%
Takedown defense
70%
1.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Aleksei OleinikWalt Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.2-39.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Aleksei Oleinik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights17
Walt Harris
StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights15