Flyweight
3 Rounds
Alessandro Costa won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupAlessandro Costa: Well-roundedvsKevin Borjas: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Alessandro Costa wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Alessandro Costa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessandro Costa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Kevin Borjas has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alessandro Costa has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Alessandro Costa
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Borjas
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
30
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alessandro CostaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Amir Albazi · Dec 22W
KOvs Jimmy Flick · Jun 23L
vs Steve Erceg · Nov 23L
KOvs Alden Coria · Sep 25Kevin BorjasL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Joshua Van · Nov 23W
vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Mar 25L
vs Sumudaerji · Aug 25L
KOvs Imanol Rodriguez · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alessandro CostaMetricKevin Borjas
3.73
Strikes / min
3.96
3.72
Strikes absorbed / min
5.64
56%
Strike defense
49%
0.79
TDs / 15 min
0.00
86%
Takedown defense
70%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap-1.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alessandro Costa(5 fights)Kevin Borjas(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+2.7-2.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Alessandro Costa
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6
Kevin Borjas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5