Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Weidman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Thursday, March 3, 2011·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupAlessio Sakara: WrestlervsChris Weidman: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Alessio Sakara wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Chris Weidman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alessio Sakara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Sakara is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Chris Weidman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alessio Sakara
Red Corner
VS
Chris Weidman
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
44
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alessio SakaraL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs James Irvin · Mar 10L
KOvs Brian Stann · Apr 12L
vs Patrick Cote · Nov 12L
vs Nico Musoke · Oct 13Chris Weidman
oldest →latest
W
vs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alessio SakaraMetricChris Weidman
3.96
Strikes / min
3.11
2.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
59%
Strike defense
51%
2.18
TDs / 15 min
3.27
62%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alessio SakaraChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alessio Sakara(5 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Alessio Sakara
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Chris Weidman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights20