Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alex Caceres won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 29, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Caceres: Well-roundedvsAustin Springer: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(77.8%)
Actual result: Alex Caceres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Austin Springer has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Austin Springer
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+176
(36%)
37
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Austin SpringerNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricAustin Springer
4.21
Strikes / min
3.54
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.15
62%
Strike defense
41%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
3.37
64%
Takedown defense
100%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresAustin Springer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Austin Springer(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.9-22.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.747.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Austin Springer
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1