Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Edwin Figueroa won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 4, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(69.3%)
Actual result: Edwin Figueroa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edwin Figueroa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alex Caceres has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Caceres has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Edwin Figueroa
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
37
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Edwin FigueroaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael McDonald · Mar 11W
KOvs Jason Reinhardt · Aug 11L
KOvs Francisco Rivera · Feb 13L
vs Roland Delorme · Jun 13L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricEdwin Figueroa
4.21
Strikes / min
2.57
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.06
62%
Strike defense
51%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.20
64%
Takedown defense
37%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12Δ 1.61 — meaningful gap-0.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresEdwin Figueroa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Edwin Figueroa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-90.090.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Edwin Figueroa
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6