Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alex Caceres won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupAlex Caceres: Well-roundedvsJulian Erosa: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Alex Caceres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Julian Erosa threatens submissions; Alex Caceres has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Alex Caceres has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Julian Erosa
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
37
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs SeungWoo Choi · Oct 21L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricJulian Erosa
4.21
Strikes / min
6.18
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
6.31
62%
Strike defense
48%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.73
64%
Takedown defense
61%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresJulian Erosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Julian Erosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.8-23.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+182.0-182.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18