Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alex Caceres won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, February 27, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(74.5%)
Actual result: Alex Caceres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Caceres has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Croom
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
37
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Kevin CroomL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 20L
vs Brian Kelleher · Jan 22L
KOvs Alatengheili · Apr 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricKevin Croom
4.21
Strikes / min
2.65
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
62%
Strike defense
41%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.48
64%
Takedown defense
30%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresKevin Croom
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Kevin Croom(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Kevin Croom
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4