Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Masanori Kanehara won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 20, 2014·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Model Prediction: Alex Caceres wins(51.1%)
Actual result: Masanori Kanehara wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Alex Caceres
Red Corner
VS
Masanori Kanehara
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
37
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24Masanori KaneharaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rani Yahya · Jul 15L
SUBvs Michael McDonald · Jan 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex CaceresMetricMasanori Kanehara
4.21
Strikes / min
1.88
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
1.63
62%
Strike defense
62%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.44
64%
Takedown defense
63%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Alex CaceresMasanori Kanehara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Caceres(10 fights)Masanori Kanehara(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.6-20.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.048.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
Alex Caceres
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights29
Masanori Kanehara
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3